The space industry has seen a dramatic uptick within the variety of satellites launched into low-Earth orbit lately. Much of this growth, but not all of it, has been driven by the rapid expansion of SpaceX’s Starlink megaconstellation, which is now populated by greater than 4,000 satellites.
In our space panel for Ars Frontiers, I had the pleasure of discussing the implications of this growth in satellites and space-based services with a distinguished panel of experts. Many issues, good and bad, have arisen, from the cluttering of low-Earth orbit to the event of powerful tools utilized in conflict, corresponding to synthetic aperture radar and communications in Ukraine. You possibly can watch the complete discussion here.
It is important to appreciate how much the environment in low-Earth orbit has modified during the last five years. That is the realm of space from about 100 km within the atmosphere as much as about 2,000 km. But nearly all of satellites are clustered inside just a few hundred kilometers of the surface of the Earth.
Charity Weeden is the vice chairman of worldwide space policy and government relations for Astroscale, an organization working to develop technologies to remove debris from low-Earth orbit.
“Every little thing has modified in orbit,” Weeden explained. “The number of nations in orbit might be upward of 100 today. In order that has really helped the complete global community embrace and utilize space for the good thing about all society. That is a great thing. Space is threaded into our on a regular basis life in our education products, in transportation, communication, as you mentioned, safety, security, economy.”
Which means we’re all on this together, she said, and accordingly, we want to work together. “During the last six a long time, we have been using space as our own personal operating dumping ground. You realize, you launch things, things will break up, pieces will remain in orbit, upper-stage rocket bodies will remain in orbit, and so they can slowly drift down into the atmosphere as well and burn up on reentry. That is all well and good. But it surely’s the pace of things within the last five to 10 years that has really shown us that the principles that we arrange about three a long time ago don’t apply [and] are usually not fit for purpose today.”
Only 4 years ago, there have been about 2,500 satellites in low-Earth orbit, and there are about 7,000 today. That number will proceed to grow as other megaconstellations, including Amazon’s Project Kuiper and similar constellations built by China and Europe, come online later this decade. SpaceX also plans to launch more and bigger Starlink satellites with its Starship rocket.
There are significant management challenges, needless to say, but NASA’s Bhavya Lal, the agency’s associate administrator for technology, policy, and strategy, struck a hopeful tone.
“I’m not one among those individuals who likes to form of do ‘the sky is falling,'” she said. “I feel this can be a manageable problem. We just must take it seriously. I do know you’ll be able to’t predict the longer term from the past, but within the last 20 years, there’s been one instance of an lively satellite hitting a chunk of trackable debris. We’d like to determine learn how to work with one another to make things higher.”
Certainly one of the most important issues facing policymakers concerns sharing tracking data for satellites and debris objects in space. This is very problematic with private firms like SpaceX and nation-states like China, which don’t repeatedly communicate with each other. Privateer Space is attempting to help with this issue by creating a knowledge infrastructure to observe and clean up space debris.
“As nation-states, we must share our tracking data, and we must create standards which can be one of the best for humanity in order that we are able to safely operate in space across the known debris,” said Alex Fielding, co-founder and chief executive of Privateer Space. “We also need to begin to get a greater grasp on the known unknowns, that are the debris smaller than that 10 centimeters frequently, and, ultimately, have persistent tracking and have rules and standards around what’s required to place an object in space and the way we responsibly manage those objects once they’re on orbit.”